TMB
TMB was a prediction markets platform built at Covalent where users took conviction-weighted positions on real-world outcomes; it shipped to production at tmb.fun and has since been sunsetted.
- production
- shipped to
- end-to-end
- market flows
- role
- prediction market flows, backend, market mechanics
- status
- sunsetted
- built at
- Covalent
the call
A prediction market is only as good as its settlement story: positions have to be priced continuously while the outcome is still unknown, then resolved once and irreversibly. The work was the market mechanics and the backend that had to stay correct through both phases at Covalent scale.
what I owned
- Prediction market flows end to end
- Backend and market mechanics
- Production infrastructure
what shipped
- End-to-end prediction market implementation
- Real-time market dynamics and conviction-based UX
- Production infra at Covalent scale

stack
- prediction
- web3
- react
- node
reach